It’s Happening

Good morning: Equity markets rallied for the first time in three weeks, with all three major indices posting weekly gains. Strong AI-earnings releases helped push stocks higher to overcome a weaker than expected gross domestic product report and divided the Federal Reserve, causing some volatility. The U.S. economy grew at a 1.5% annualized rate in the second quarter, slowing from the previous quarter. Strong consumer spending and AI-driven business investment supported growth. The weaker-than-expected growth rate reinforced the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady at a range of 3.50%-3.75%. Continued economic uncertainty and elevated inflation ultimately kept the central bank in wait-and-see mode.

 

So far, 61% of S&P 500 companies have reported their quarterly results. Of those companies, the blended earnings growth rate is 47.4%, the highest since the post-covid reopening in 2021 (source: Factset). This week’s economic releases will be labor-focused, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics payrolls report being released this Friday and the Challenger job cuts report on Thursday. On top of that, we will get the ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing reports for July. Earnings season also continues this week with another flurry of releases. We will hear from SpaceX, which will make its first public release following its IPO. The incredible investment amounts that have gone to AI infrastructure are beginning to pay off—I emphasize beginning.  We’re still in the early stages; it is happening. Have a great week, and call with questions.  

Source: “Corporate Earnings Show Strong Deman for AI.” Monday Morning Observations. Capital Wealth Management. Simpson, K. 8/3/2026

 Regards,
Don

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